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2023年湖北“迎峰度冬”期间分产业负荷特性分析
彭利鸿1, 别芳玫2, 徐玮1, 李慧慧2
(1.国家电网有限公司华中分部;2.国网湖北省电力有限公司经济技术研究院)
Investigation of Industrial Load Characteristics During the
Peng LiHong1, Bie FangMei2, Xu Wei1, Li HuiHui2
(1.State Grid Corporation of China Central China Branch;2.Economic and Technical Research Institute of State Grid Hubei Electric Power Co,Ltd)
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投稿时间:2024-09-11    修订日期:2024-11-04
中文摘要: 随着冬季空调器、电采暖等供暖设备的使用率逐步提高,湖北电网负荷受气温的影响也愈发明显,并在2024年1月24日的极寒天气影响下创历史新高。为了解气温对湖北电网负荷的影响,首先梳理了湖北省近4年迎峰度冬期间最大负荷与气温的变化曲线,通过选取各产业典型工作日、休息日用电现状,分析湖北省各产业负荷特性和变化规律;其次,结合湖北网上电网用电量分析各产业基础电量与采暖电量历年来的变化,揭示了用电量与气温的变化趋势;最后基于历史数据分析采暖负荷、电量与气温的相关性、敏感性,计算出一度温降最大负荷差、温降电量差,进而研究分析了采暖负荷、电量与气温的发展规律,为电力部门科学制定迎峰度冬调度计划提供理论依据。
中文关键词: 气温  分产业负荷  采暖负荷  采暖电量
Abstract:With the gradual increase in the utilization rate of heating equipment such as air conditioners and electric heating in winter, the impact of temperature on Hubei power grid load has become increasingly obvious, and hit a record high under the influence of extremely cold weather on January 24, 2024. In order to understand the influence of air temperature on the load of Hubei power grid, the change curve of maximum load and air temperature during the winter peak in Hubei Province in the past four years was firstly sorted out. By selecting the current situation of electricity consumption in typical working days and rest days of each industry, the load characteristics and change rules of each industry in Hubei Province were analyzed. Secondly, combined with the electricity consumption of Hubei online power grid, the changes of basic electricity and heating electricity of each industry over the years are analyzed, and the changing trend of electricity consumption and temperature is revealed. Finally, based on the historical data, the correlation and sensitivity of heating load, electricity and air temperature are analyzed, and the maximum load difference and temperature difference of temperature drop are calculated, and then the development law of heating load, electricity and air temperature is studied and analyzed, which provides a theoretical basis for the power department to scientifically formulate the winter kurtosis scheduling plan.
文章编号:20240911001     中图分类号:F407.9    文献标志码:
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